The latest Israel elections polls
Yossi Verter in Haaretz today reports on the most recent Haaretz-Channel 10 poll:
1. Kadima remains comfortably ahead of its rivals with 39 projected Knesset seats.
2. Labor is predicted to receive 19 Knesset seats, while the Likud is at 14 seats.
3. Following the merger of the right-wing National Union and National Religious Party, the joint list climbed from 10 to 11 seats at the Likud's expense.
4. Meretz is maintaining stability with five projected Knesset seats.
5. Shas is weakening a little (nine seats), and United Torah Judaism is strengthening (seven seats).
6. Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is still leading leading as the most suitable candidate. The public currently views him as "left," while on entering his post on January 9, he was placed at the center of the political map, with a slight tendency toward the right. Likud Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu's position remains unchanged at 1.99 - far right. Labor Party Chairman Amir Peretz has moved further left, from 3.89 on January 9 to 4.02.
7. The paralysis gripping the Likud is beginning to look irreversible. Netanyahu plucked two aces from the electoral card pack in the last two months - Sharon's collapse and his being replaced by Olmert and Hamas' rise to power. Yet nothing has happened. The Likud rose by just two-three Knesset seats.
8. Asked how they defined the demeanor of Olmert's government versus Hamas, 42 percent of the interviewees replied it was "too soft," 38 percent said it was appropriate for the circumstances, and 12 percent said it was too harsh. A very large majority of Kadima and Labor voters believes Olmert acted appropriately.
Looking at these figures it appears Kadimah is assured victory but a moderate coalition is not necessarily. The right will attempt to do anything to ensure that they at least they can get a majority(61 seats) to prevent any future withdrawals. This is the stated objective of the National Union/NRP. What happens in the next month and whether there are any further complications will be crucial. Were there to be a number of terrorist attacks by Islamic Jihad or others could cause a shift to the right sufficient to prevent a moderate coalition. Alternatively, were say Sharon to die in the next few weeks, the association between Olmert and Sharon would be emphasised leading to an increase in Kadimah's number of seats.
1. Kadima remains comfortably ahead of its rivals with 39 projected Knesset seats.
2. Labor is predicted to receive 19 Knesset seats, while the Likud is at 14 seats.
3. Following the merger of the right-wing National Union and National Religious Party, the joint list climbed from 10 to 11 seats at the Likud's expense.
4. Meretz is maintaining stability with five projected Knesset seats.
5. Shas is weakening a little (nine seats), and United Torah Judaism is strengthening (seven seats).
6. Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is still leading leading as the most suitable candidate. The public currently views him as "left," while on entering his post on January 9, he was placed at the center of the political map, with a slight tendency toward the right. Likud Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu's position remains unchanged at 1.99 - far right. Labor Party Chairman Amir Peretz has moved further left, from 3.89 on January 9 to 4.02.
7. The paralysis gripping the Likud is beginning to look irreversible. Netanyahu plucked two aces from the electoral card pack in the last two months - Sharon's collapse and his being replaced by Olmert and Hamas' rise to power. Yet nothing has happened. The Likud rose by just two-three Knesset seats.
8. Asked how they defined the demeanor of Olmert's government versus Hamas, 42 percent of the interviewees replied it was "too soft," 38 percent said it was appropriate for the circumstances, and 12 percent said it was too harsh. A very large majority of Kadima and Labor voters believes Olmert acted appropriately.
Looking at these figures it appears Kadimah is assured victory but a moderate coalition is not necessarily. The right will attempt to do anything to ensure that they at least they can get a majority(61 seats) to prevent any future withdrawals. This is the stated objective of the National Union/NRP. What happens in the next month and whether there are any further complications will be crucial. Were there to be a number of terrorist attacks by Islamic Jihad or others could cause a shift to the right sufficient to prevent a moderate coalition. Alternatively, were say Sharon to die in the next few weeks, the association between Olmert and Sharon would be emphasised leading to an increase in Kadimah's number of seats.
posted by SJ at 6:09 PM
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